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Doug’s Fearless 2024 Tony Nomination Predictions

2024 Tony Nomination Predictions

Best Musical

“The Great Gatsby”

“Hell’s Kitchen”

“The Outsiders”


“Water for Elephants”


Maybe: “Days of Wine and Roses,” “The Notebook”


Best Play

“Mary Jane”

“Mother Play”


“Prayer for the French Republic”


Maybe: “Jaja’s African Hair Braiding”


Best Revival of a Musical

“Merrily We Roll Along”

“Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club”


“The Who’s Tommy”

Maybe: “Gutenberg!,” “The Wiz”


Best Revival of a Play


“Purlie Victorious”

“An Enemy of the People”

“Uncle Vanya”


Actor in a Leading Role (Musical)

Ali Louis Bourzgui, “Tommy”

Brian D’Arcy James, “Days of Wine and Roses”

Jonathan Groff, “Merrily We Roll Along”

Jeremy Jordan, “The Great Gatsby”

Eddie Redmayne, “Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club”

Maybe: Dorian Harewood, “The Notebook,” Chip Zien, “Harmony”


Actor in a Leading Role (Play)

Leslie Odom Jr., “Purlie Victorious”

Jeremy Strong, “An Enemy of the People”

Steve Carell, “Uncle Vanya”

Liev Schreiber, “Doubt”

Michael Stuhlbarg, “Patriots”

Maybe: William Jackson Harper, “Uncle Vanya”


Actress in a Leading Role (Musical)

Maleah Joi Moon, “Hell’s Kitchen”

Kelli O’Hara, “Days of Wine and Roses”

Maleah Joi Moon, “Hell’s Kitchen”

Maryann Plunkett, “The Notebook”

Shaina Taub, “Suffs”

Maybe: Eden Espinosa, “Lempicka,” Gayle Rankin, “Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club”


Actress in a Leading Role (Play)

Betsy Aidem, “Prayer for the French Republic”

Jessica Lange, “Mother Play”

Rachel McAdams, “Mary Jane”

Sarah Paulson, “Appropriate”

Maybe: Amy Ryan, “Doubt”


Actor in a Featured Role (Musical)

Joshua Boone, “The Outsiders”

Brandon Victor Dixon, “Hell’s Kitchen”

Paul Alexander Nolan, “Water for Elephants”

Daniel Radcliffe, “Merrily We Roll Along”

Steven Skybell, “Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club”

Maybe: Roger Bart, “Back to the Future,” Conrad Ricamora, “Here Lies Love”


Actor in a Featured Role (Play)

Will Brill, “Stereophonic”

Jim Parsons, “Mother Play”

Will Keen, “Patriots”

Michael Imperioli, “An Enemy of the People”

Corey Stoll, “Appropriate”

Maybe: Michael Esper, “Appropriate,” Eli Gelb or Tom Pecinka, “Stereophonic”


Actress in a Featured Role (Musical)

Jenn Colella, “Suffs”

Leslie Rodriguez Kritzer, “Monty Python’ Spamalot”

Kecia Lewis, “Hell’s Kitchen”

Linsday Mendez, “Merrily We Roll Along”

Bebe Neuwirth, “Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club”

Maybe: Shoshanna Bean, “Hell’s Kitchen,” “Nikki M. James,” “Suffs”


Actress in a Featured Role (Play)

Francis Benhamou, “Prayer for the French Republic”

Juliana Canfield, “Stereophonic”

Sarah Pidgeon, “Stereophonic”

Celia Kenan-Bolger, “Mother Play”

Kara Young, “Purlie Victorious”

Maybe: Quincy Tyler Bernstine, “Doubt”


Best Book

“Suffs,” Shaina Taub

“Hell’s Kitchen,” Kristoffer Diaz

“Illinoise,” Jackie Sibblies Drury

“The Notebook,” Bekah Brunstetter

“The Outsiders,” Adam Rapp and Justin Levine

Maybe: “Here Lies Love,” “How to Dance in Ohio”


Best Score

“Suffs,” music and lyrics by Shaina Taub

“Days of Wine and Roses,” music and lyrics by Adam Guettel

“Here Lies Love,” music by David Byrne and Fatboy Slim, lyrics by Byrne

“The Notebook,” music and lyrics by Ingrid Michaelson

“The Outsiders”

Maybe: “The Great Gatsby” or “Stereophonic”


Best Choreography

“The Great Gatsby”

“Hell’s Kitchen”


“The Outsiders”

“The Who’s Tommy”

Maybe: “The Wiz”


Director (Play)

Daniel Aukin, “Stereophonic”

Sam Gold, “An Enemy of the People”

Rupert Goold, “Stereophonic”

Lila Neugebauer, “Appropriate”

Kenny Leon, “Purlie Victorious”

Maybe: Anne Kauffman, “Mary Jane”


Director (Musical)

Maria Friedman, “Merrily We Roll Along”

Michael Greif, “Hell’s Kitchen”

Justin Peck, “Illinoise”

Leigh Silverman, “Suffs”

Danya Taymor, “The Outsiders”

Maybe: Alex Timbers, “Here Lies Love”