You are currently viewing Doug’s Fearless 2025 Emmy Nomination Predictions

Doug’s Fearless 2025 Emmy Nomination Predictions

Here some final 2025 Emmy nomination predictions to consider.

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES

“Hacks”

“The Studio”

“Abbott Elementary”

“The Bear”

“Only Murders in the Building”

“Nobody Wants This”

“Shrinking”

“Agatha All Along”

ALMOST THERE: “What We Do In The Shadows,” “The Four Seasons,” “A Man on the Inside”

LOWDOWN: If Netflix overperforms, don’t be surprised if “Four Seasons” makes the cut over “Agatha” or “Shrinking.” “What We Do” has a shot for its last season, but FX’s reminder campaign was somewhat tepid in our humble opinion. It’s certainly a safe choice for the eighth slot, however.

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES

“Severance”

“Andor”

“The White Lotus”

“The Pitt”

“Slow Horses”

“The Last of Us”

“The Diplomat”

“Paradise”

ALMOST THERE: “Matlock,” “Squid Game,” “The Handmaid’s Tale,” “Yellowjackets”

LOWDOWN: “Paradise” is the bubble show here. “Squid Game” makes sense (Netflix, big hit), but season two was not well received. Also, do not be shocked if “Matlock” is the final nominee. Many in the industry respect its success and think it’s leaps and bounds better than a traditional network procedural (plus, know a few who surprised me by voting for it).

OUTSTANDING LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES

“Adolescence”

“The Penguin”

“Dying for Sex”

“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”

“Disclaimer”

ALMOST THERE: “Black Mirror,” “Say Nothing,” “Presumed Innocent,” “Sirens”

LOWDOWN: This category is pretty much a lock. If Apple can get “Presumed Innocent” in considering it began releasing in June 2024, that’s a major accomplishment.

OUTSTANDING REALITY COMPETITION SERIES

“The Traitors”

“RuPaul’s Drag Race”

“The Amazing Race”

“The Voice”

“Top Chef”

ALMOST THERE: “Survivor,” “Is It Cake?”

LOWDOWN: We simply don’t believe in “Beast Games,” that’s not even a dark horse contender. The question is whether “Survivor” can overtake “The Amazing Race” or “The Voice.”

OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE

“Rebel Ridge”

“Bridget Jones: Mad About The Boy”

“The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat”

“Mountainhead”

“Out of My Mind”

ALMOST THERE: “Am I Ok?,” “Nonnas,” “G20”

LOWDOWN: As always, this category is going to raise eyebrows once the nominations come out. “Rebel,” “Bridget,” and “Mountainhead” (maybe) are really the only safe bets.

OUTSTANDING TALK SERIES

“The Daily Show”

“Late Show with Stephen Colbert”

“Everybody’s Live with John Mulaney”

ALMOST THERE: “Jimmy Kimmel Live,” “Late Night with Seth Meyers”

LOWDOWN: Despite it not popping as much as “Everybody’s In LA,” we think the John Mulaney love is too strong for Television Academy voters to ignore it. If not, “Jimmy Kimmel” is your third nominee.

OUTSTANDING SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES

“Late Week Tonight with John Oliver”

“Saturday Night Live”

ALMOST THERE: “Fantasmas”

LOWDOWN: I mean, no one else is getting nominated, but maybe Julio Torres’ celebrated “Fantasmas” somehow surprises, or maybe this category deserved three nominees.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”

Seth Rogen, “The Studio”

Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”

Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This”

Jason Segel “Shrinking”

ALMOST THERE: Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building,” Ted Danson, “A Man on the Inside,” Matt Berry, “What We Do In The Shadows”

LOWDOWN: Martin Short and Jeremy Allen White are the only true locks here. Anyone else could easily get snubbed by Steve Martin or Ted Danson. Matt Berry is a dark horse after landing his first nod last year when the category had six nominees.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

Jean Smart, “Hacks”

Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary”

Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear”

Kathryn Hahn, “Agatha All Along”

Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This”

ALMOST THERE: Natasha Lyonne, “Poker Face,” Tina Fey, “The Four Seasons,” Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building,” Uzo Aduba, “The Residence”

LOWDOWN: Natasha Lyonne likely has the best shot at cracking the five.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Paul W. Downs, “Hacks”

Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”

Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary”

Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live”

Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio”

Harrison Ford, “Shrinking”

ALMOST THERE: Michael Urie, “Shrinking,” Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons,” Brett Goldstein, “Shrinking”

LOWDOWN: Lots of moving pieces here. “SNL” actors are not as prominent as they used to be outside of Guest Actor/Actress categories, but Bowen Yang has been nominated three out of the last four years. We don’t see how that changes. Ike Barinholtz is likely borderline with another “Shrinking” star potentially taking his slot.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”

Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio”

Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary”

Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary”

Liza Colon-Zayas, “The Bear”

Megan Stalter, “Hacks”

ALMOST THERE: Jessica Williams, “Shrinking,” Kathryn Hahn, “The Studio,” Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building”

LOWDOWN: If “The Studio” underperforms, even Catherine O’Hara won’t be able to save this nomination. Is the love for “Hacks” strong enough for Megan Stalter to crack the six-nominee field? If not, Jessica Williams or Meryl Streep are waiting.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Adam Scott, “Severance”

Noah Wylie, “The Pitt”

Pedro Pascal, “The Last of Us”

Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses”

Sterling K. Brown, “Paradise”

ALMOST THERE: Diego Luna, “Andor,” Lee Jung-Jae, “Squid Games,” Jeff Bridges, “The Old Man”

LOWDOWN: It pains us that Diego Luna likely won’t make this list.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

Kathy Bates, “Matlock”

Bella Ramsey, “The Last of Us”

Britt Lower, “Severance”

Keri Russell, “The Diplomat”

Melanie Lynskey, “Yellowjackets”

ALMOST THERE: Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale,” Keira Knightley, “Black Doves”

LOWDOWN: In theory, it’s Elisabeth Moss over Melanie Lynskey, but we just don’t buy it. If Lynskey gets in for a weak “Yellowjackets” season, Netflix may be kicking themselves for not campaigning Knightly more for “Black Doves.”

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus”

John Turturro, “Severance”

Tramell Tillman, “Severance”

Jason Isaacs, “The White Lotus”

Sam Rockwell, “The White Lotus”

Choi Seung-hyun, “Squid Game”

Patrick Schwarzenegger, “The White Lotus”

ALMOST THERE: Stellan Skarsgard, “Andor,” Zach Cherry, “Severance,” Patrick Ball, “The Pitt,”

LOWDOWN: It pains us that Stellan Skarsgard likely won’t make this list.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus”

Parker Posey, “The White Lotus”

Aimee Lou Wood, “The White Lotus”

Natasha Rothwell, “The White Lotus”

Allison Janney, “The Diplomat”

Leslie Bibb, “The White Lotus”

Patricia Arquette, “Severance”

ALMOST THERE: Genevieve O’Reilly, “Andor”

LOWDOWN: It pains us that Genevieve O’Reilly likely won’t make this list.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE

Colin Farrell, “The Penguin”

Stephen Graham, “Adolescence”

Kevin Kline, “Disclaimer”

Brian Tyree Henry, “Dopethief”

Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”

ALMOST THERE: Aaron Pierre, “Rebel Ridge,” Paul Giamatti, “Black Mirror,” Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent”

LOWDOWN: It would only be a surprise because most television movie stars rarely crack this field, but Aaron Pierre’s celebrated turn makes too much sense. But who does he knock out?

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE

Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin”

Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex”

Renee Zellweger, “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy”

Kaitlyn Dever, “Apple Cider Vinegar”

Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer”

ALMOST THERE: Ellen Pompeo, “Good American Family,” Lola Pettigrew, “Say Nothing,” Meghan Fahy, “Sirens”

LOWDOWN: Would it be wild if Cate Blanchett was snubbed here?

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE

Owen Cooper, “Adolescence”

Javier Bardem, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”

Peter Skarsgard, “Presumed Innocent”

Rob Delaney, “Dying for Sex”

Ashley Walters, “Adolescence”

Hugh Grant, “Bridget Jones: Mad About The Boy”

ALMOST THERE: Clancy Brown, “The Penguin,” Rhezy Feliz, “The Penguin,” Jay Duplass, “Dying for Sex”

LOWDOWN: If not Ashley Walters, then either of “The Penguin” stars make it instead.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE

Erin Doherty, “Adolescence”

Jenny Slate, “Dying for Sex”

Leslie Manville, “Disclaimer”

Diedre O’Connell, “The Penguin”

Chloe Sevigny, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”

Christine Tremarco, “Adolescence”

ALMOST THERE: Ruth Negga, “Presumed Innocent”

LOWDOWN: Christine Tremarco is likely too close to call, but the power of Netflix and, more importantly, “Adolescence,” should get her across the finish line.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Jeffrey Wright, “The Last of Us”

Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”

Scott Glenn, “The White Lotus”

Ben Mendholson, “Andor”

Beau Bridges, “Matlock”

Mackenzie Astin, “The Pitt”

ALMOST THERE: Joe Panoliano, “The Last of Us,” Gong Yoo, “Squid Game”

LOWDOWN: Jeffrey Wright and Shawn Hatosy are the only real givens here. The other four slots could absolutely surprise.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS N A DRAMA SERIES

Kaitlyn Dever, “The Last of Us”

Catherine O’Hara, “The Last of Us”

Gwendoline Christie, “Severance”

Cherry Jones, “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Merritt Weaver, “The Pitt”

Hilary Swank, “Yellowjackets”

ALMOST THERE: Jane Alexander, “Severance,” Rebecca Tinley, “The Pitt,” Sydney Cole Alexander, “Severance”

LOWDOWN: Could this field have three “Severence” stars in the mix? Ponder.

Kaitlyn Dever, “The Last of Us”

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

Julianne Nicholson, “Hacks”

Cynthia Erivo, “Poker Face”

Kaitlin Olsen, “Hacks”

Jamie Lee Curtis, “The Bear”

Maya Rudolph, “Saturday Night Live”

Zoe Kravitz, “The Studio”

ALMOST THERE: Melissa McCarthy, “Only Murders in the Building,” Sarah Polley, “The Studio,” Ariana Grande, “Saturday Night Live”

LOWDOWN: To be fair, this is a super competitive field. Julianne Nicholson and Jamie Lee Curtis are a given. Maya Rudolph has won this field twice and earned seven, yes, seven nominations, barely campaigning (usually she’s campaigning for something else). If “The Studio” underperforms (are you detecting a theme yet?), a great Zoe Kravitz turn is in trouble.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Bryan Cranston, “The Studio”

Martin Scorsese, “The Studio”

Christopher McDonald, “Hacks”

Martin Short, “Saturday Night Live”

Jon Bernthal, “The Bear”

Giancarlo Esposito, “Poker Face”

ALMOST THERE: Dave Chappelle, “Saturday Night Live,” Ron Howard, “The Studio,” Will Poulter, “The Bear,” Timothee Chalamet, “Saturday Night Live”

LOWDOWN: Unlike Guest Actress, these six nominees are much more fluid. Bryan Cranston, Jon Bernthal, and maybe Martin Short (who shockingly has never been recognized here) are the only givens.

The 77th Primetime Emmy Awards nominations will be revealed on Tuesday, July 15, at 8:30 AM PT/ 11:30 AM ET.