The Nominees: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet; Emma Stone, Bugonia; Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value; Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue; Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

After winning at Critics Choice, Golden Globes, BAFTA and the Actor Awards, can there be any doubt? This one was likely locked the minute the first screening of Hamnet ended at Telluride. The box office woes of her just-released movie The Bride! are not a Norbit moment (á la Eddie Murphy), as voting was closed before the movie opened this weekend. Not that it would have mattered anyway.

THE WINNER: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet